# Null results and real results

Today being a sunny day, the blogging team was happy for an opportunity to put Friday’s Fermi Problem to a little test using an old Physics Quest box and some black paint that we found in a drawer. (Our cubicle teems with all sorts of unexpectedly useful objects.)

We then placed our newly black-roofed box and regular white box out in the sun, each equipped with an (admittedly low-tech) mercury thermometer. Then we went to lunch—a crucial step along any avenue of scientific inquiry.

When we returned from lunch, we eagerly opened up the boxes and placed the thermometers side by side. How big of a difference would the white “roof” make?

Unfortunately, these amateur scientists had to report null results. The two thermometers read an identical 105 degrees or so. (Yes, the picture has been blurred because this is all a conspiracy. Actually, it’ s just the iPhone camera we used.)

My scientific mind cast about for an explanation, which I’ve decided is probably the fact that both boxes were sitting on (non-white) concrete. Baking on the hot surface of our back rampart probably drowned out any differences we’d be able to detect due to the color of our boxes. (Anyone else have any luck? Remember, take photos, email them to [email protected], tell us what happened, and we’ll mail you fun buttons and things.)

Luckily for Chu’s campaign, we aren’t the principal investigators in the scientific question of whether white roofs keep houses cooler. Instead, the smart folks at Lawrence Berkeley National Lab (with help from Oak Ridge) are taking a substantially more sophisticated approach—you know, actually putting roofing materials in the sun and seeing what happens:

The Cool Colors Project has links to the facts they’ve accumulated and recent research papers.
I learned on the site that what makes a white roof cool is its ability not only to reflect sunlight, but to emit heat.

A roof with a clean, smooth bright white surface can reflect about 85% of incident sunlight (R = 0.85) and emit thermal radiation with 90% efficiency (E = 0.90).

In the end, this means that the roof’s temperature creeps up only about 9 degrees.
In contrast, I took a crack at Friday’s Fermi problem myself. Given the amount of energy the sun produces, how much makes it to the earth’s surface, the heat capacity of air, and the volume of an average house (2219 square feet on average, according to the last US census, with a 10 foot ceiling, I assumed), my rough calculation results in raising the temperature of the house from a cool 70 to over 100 over the hottest part of the day. Similarly, the Cool Colors folks report that regular old roofs can get up to 70 degrees hotter than the air around them, thanks to their amazing ability to absorb the sun’s rays and hold on to heat.

So if you’re scratching your head and wondering if this “white roofs” idea is worth all the hullaballoo, take a look at the research being done by actual scientists. It’s great that so much of their work is available online, especially with an issue that could really affect the planet—and your summer electricity bill.