Yesterday’s post generated a lot of great conversation, so I thought I’d respond to some of the interesting points brought up in the comments section. First, are platoons (chains of several cars that are traveling close together) really that bad?
The thing about these “platoons” is that when you’re driving that close you’re not just watching the car in front of you but the car in front of him. You actually end up monitoring a couple of cars ahead. So if you see something happening to the car 2,3 or 4 cars ahead you start easying off and you have more time to brake when the mud really hits the fan.
Strangely enough, Dr. Appert-Rolland told me that the specific expressway she was looking at rarely had accidents, though that wasn’t the focus of her study. With such long platoons, it seems like rear-end collisions would happen pretty frequently, so maybe there’s something to the above comment. I’d be interested to know why accidents don’t happen more frequently here. When I asked her what drivers should do about this platoon effect , she mentioned not only obeying the three-second rule, but trying to look ahead if you can, as the comment above suggests. So perhaps you can fine-tune how closely you follow based on how far ahead you can see, meaning the writer of the comment below should probably stay away from bigger cars:
That’s another issue. I can’t see a damn thing from my Ford Focus when any SUV is ahead of me. I end up depending on the SUV driver’s reaction time and style, which is, generally speaking, horrid.
Obviously the three-second rule is a rough way to keep your distance larger than your reaction time. (One commenter brought up that reaction times are actually less than one second. Anyone have any evidence for that?) But sometimes even that rule needs to be broken, bringing us back to the first paper the article mentions:
the three-second rule means that most people would never be able to enter the highway. If you attempted to merge, you would break everyone else’s three second rule behind you and everyone would have to slow down to let you merge. So you can’t say “never” because your highway would be at capacity in no time at all.
For anybody interested in reading Petter Minnhagen’s paper (or at least an abstract of it), you can find it here:
Flow improvement caused by agents who ignore traffic rules
I think it’s worth noting how stylized the pedestrian rules are in this study. I haven’t sprung for the full paper, but I find myself wondering if maybe the rules themselves could have been changed in such a way as to make rule abiding the optimal “solution.”
A comment after my own heart: I often wonder whether the proverbial spherical cow eats grass and moos. So here’s a bit more detail on the rules of this model world. So we’ve got our pedestrian-only street, divided into a grid. Each pedestrian is randomly assigned to move either up or down the street, with each square representing a possible move. You try to move forward if you can, but if there’s someone in that square, you can move sideways. If you’re a good, rule-abiding citizen, you always try to go right first. If that square’s occupied too, then you can go left. But if you’re a jerk, you’re behavior isn’t so rigid. You toss a coin to decide whether to go left or right first. You’ve got more freedom.